Origin Materials Stock Analysis

ORGN Stock  USD 0.16  0.01  5.60%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Origin Materials extending back to September 04, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Origin Materials stands at 0.16, as last reported on the 18th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 0.16 and the lowest price hitting 0.15 during the day.
IPO Date
4th of September 2020
200 Day MA
0.4933
50 Day MA
0.2523
Beta
0.977
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Origin Materials holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.038. At this time, Origin Materials' Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of February 2026, Net Debt To EBITDA is likely to grow to 0.61, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 1.5 M. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Origin Materials' Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Origin Materials' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Origin Materials' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Origin Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Origin Materials' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Origin Materials, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Origin Materials, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Origin Materials' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
0.0811
Enterprise Value Ebitda
2.4387
Price Sales
0.9496
Shares Float
144.1 M
Wall Street Target Price
0.5
At this time, Origin Materials' Total Stockholder Equity is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of February 2026, Other Stockholder Equity is likely to grow to about 474.8 M, while Common Stock is likely to drop about 12.8 K. . As of the 18th of February 2026, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 3.97. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -2.07.
Origin Materials is undervalued with Real Value of 0.24 and Target Price of 0.5. The main objective of Origin Materials stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Origin Materials is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Origin Materials' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Origin Materials stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Origin Materials is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Origin Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.

Origin Stock Analysis Notes

About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Materials recorded a loss per share of 0.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2020. Micromidas, Inc., doing business as Origin Materials, produces and commercializes plant-based PET plastic. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Sacramento, California with a facility in Sarnia, Canada. Origin Materials operates under Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 86 people. To find out more about Origin Materials contact Richard Riley at 916 231 9329 or learn more at https://www.originmaterials.com.

Origin Materials Investment Alerts

Origin Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Materials has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Materials has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (83.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 464 K.
Origin Materials currently holds about 406.14 M in cash with (50.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Origin Materials has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Origin Materials Announces Major Cost-Cutting Organizational Realignment - The Globe and Mail

Origin Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Origin Materials' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2007-03-13
2006-12-310.090.08-0.0111 
2006-11-02
2006-09-300.060.070.0116 
2006-05-09
2006-03-310.060.05-0.0116 
View All Earnings Estimates

Origin Materials Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Origin Materials stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Plastics Idea
Plastics
Rubber and plastics accessories

Origin Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
294.8 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2025-06-30
289.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
277.1 K
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2025-06-30
231.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
115.2 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2025-06-30
111.8 K
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken Ab2025-06-30
106.6 K
Rbf Llc2025-06-30
100 K
Group One Trading, Lp2025-06-30
97.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
5.3 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
1.9 M
Note, although Origin Materials' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Origin Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 23.86 M.

Origin Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (2.75) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (3.59) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $3.59.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.20)(0.19)
Return On Capital Employed(0.27)(0.25)
Return On Assets(0.20)(0.19)
Return On Equity(0.22)(0.23)

Management Efficiency

Origin Materials has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1098) % which means that it has lost $0.1098 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.2113) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Origin Materials' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Origin Materials manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 18th of February 2026, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.19. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.25. At this time, Origin Materials' Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of February 2026, Net Tangible Assets is likely to grow to about 454.9 M, while Other Assets are likely to drop about 4.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.72  2.58 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.72  2.58 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(1.71)(1.80)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.62  0.59 
Enterprise Value Multiple(1.71)(1.80)
Price Fair Value 0.62  0.59 
Enterprise Value157.2 M149.3 M
At Origin Materials, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
(3.59)
Profit Margin
(2.75)
Beta
0.977
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.21)

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of February 2026, Origin Materials holds the Variance of 29.76, risk adjusted performance of (0.25), and Coefficient Of Variation of (312.49). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Materials, as well as the relationship between them.

Origin Materials Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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Origin Materials Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Origin Materials insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Origin Materials' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Origin Materials insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Joshua Lee over a week ago
Acquisition by Joshua Lee of 75000 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Tripeny R Tony over a month ago
Acquisition by Tripeny R Tony of 25815 shares of Origin Materials at 0.4842 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Bissell over a month ago
Disposition of 50000 shares by John Bissell of Origin Materials at 0.2038 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Matthew Plavan over a month ago
Disposition of 40000 shares by Matthew Plavan of Origin Materials at 0.2096 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Joshua Lee over a month ago
Disposition of 29000 shares by Joshua Lee of Origin Materials at 0.2279 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Joshua Lee over two months ago
Disposition of 18200 shares by Joshua Lee of Origin Materials at 0.3611 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Hickox John over two months ago
Acquisition by Hickox John of 20803 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Bissell over three months ago
Disposition of 200000 shares by John Bissell of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Tripeny R Tony over three months ago
Acquisition by Tripeny R Tony of 24103 shares of Origin Materials at 0.5186 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stephanou James C. over six months ago
Acquisition by Stephanou James C. of 172894 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Tripeny R Tony over six months ago
Acquisition by Tripeny R Tony of 25879 shares of Origin Materials at 0.483 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Bissell over six months ago
Disposition of 137571 shares by John Bissell of Origin Materials at 0.37 subject to Rule 16b-3

Origin Materials Outstanding Bonds

Origin Materials issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Origin Materials uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Origin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Origin Materials has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Origin Materials Predictive Daily Indicators

Origin Materials intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Materials stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Origin Materials Forecast Models

Origin Materials' time-series forecasting models are one of many Origin Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Materials' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Origin Materials Bond Ratings

Origin Materials financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Origin Materials have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Origin Materials' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
4
PoorView
Beneish M Score
(1.75)
Possible ManipulatorView

Origin Materials Debt to Cash Allocation

As Origin Materials follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Origin Materials' decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Origin Materials currently holds 9.68 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.04, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Origin Materials has a current ratio of 42.39, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Origin Materials' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Origin Materials Total Assets Over Time

Origin Materials Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Origin Materials uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Origin Materials Debt Ratio

    
  2.8   
It appears that most of the Origin Materials' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Origin Materials' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Origin Materials, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Origin Materials Corporate Bonds Issued

Origin Long Term Debt

Long Term Debt

1.48 Million

At this time, Origin Materials' Long Term Debt is very stable compared to the past year.

About Origin Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Origin Materials prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Origin shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Origin Materials. By using and applying Origin Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Origin entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(3.05)(2.90)
Operating Profit Margin(3.12)(3.28)
Net Loss(3.08)(2.92)
Gross Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 

Current Origin Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Origin analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Origin analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
0.5Hold1Odds
Origin Materials current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Origin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Origin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Origin Materials, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Origin conference calls.
Origin Analyst Advice Details

Origin Stock Analysis Indicators

Origin Materials stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Origin Materials stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Origin Materials shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Origin Materials stock analysis, traders can identify Origin Materials position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow75.5 M
Long Term Debt1.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding143.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity338.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities28.6 M
Tax Provision669 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.667
Property Plant And Equipment Net207.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments102.9 M
Cash56.3 M
Accounts Payable2.9 M
Net Debt-46.6 M
50 Day M A0.2523
Total Current Liabilities12.5 M
Other Operating Expenses116.1 M
Non Current Assets Total238.9 M
Non Currrent Assets Other30.5 M
Stock Based Compensation10.1 M
When determining whether Origin Materials offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Origin Materials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origin Materials Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Origin Materials Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Origin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Origin Materials data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.667
Earnings Share
(0.47)
Revenue Per Share
0.171
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Investors evaluate Origin Materials using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Origin Materials' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Origin Materials' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Materials' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Materials should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Origin Materials' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.